Dab tsi yog Forecast Accuracy?
Kev kwv yees qhov tseeb saib ntawm qhov kev kwv yees koj tau ua thaum pib ntawm lub sijhawm thiab ntsuas lawv nrog qhov tseeb uas tshwm sim. Qhov ze koj qhov kev twv ua ntej yog qhov tseeb, qhov zoo dua koj qhov kev kwv yees qhov tseeb. Hauv kev muag khoom, qhov no feem ntau muab piv rau koj qhov kev kwv yees muag lossis kev muag khoom nrog qhov muag tiag tiag uas koj tau ua dhau lub sijhawm.
Kev kwv yees muag yog qhov tseem ceeb los muab koj pab neeg yuav sau tus xov tooj ua haujlwm rau, nrog rau qee yam los qhia rau koj cov thawj coj kom lawv paub tias yuav xav li cas los ntawm koj pab pawg muag khoom. Koj ua kev kwv yees muag los ntawm kev txheeb xyuas koj cov ntaub ntawv muag khoom los ntawm peb lub hlis dhau los, tshawb nrhiav cov qauv, thiab tom qab ntawd ua kev kwv yees raws li lawv. Qhov zoo tshaj plaws, koj qhov kev muag khoom kwv yees qhov tseeb yuav tsum nyob hauv 10% ntawm qhov tseeb.
Yuav Ua Li Cas Txhim Kho Koj Cov Kev Muag Khoom Muag Khoom Zoo
Hmoov tsis zoo, tsawg dua ib nrab ntawm cov kws tshaj lij muag khoom muaj kev ntseeg siab txog lawv lub tuam txhab lub peev xwm los kwv yees kev muag khoom kom raug. Kev muag khoom kwv yees qhov tseeb yog kom meej meej kos duab tsis yooj yim rau tus tswv, tab sis ntawm no yog ob peb lub tswv yim los pab koj kom tau rau saum nws:
Pib Yooj Yim
Tsis txhob tsim cov txheej txheem nyuaj rau kev kwv yees koj qhov muag, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tias koj tshiab rau nws lossis tsis paub meej txog koj lub peev xwm ua kom raug. Khaws tej yam yooj yim. Forecast qhov muag koj tuaj yeem yooj yim twv seb koj yuav ntsib raws li cov ntaub ntawv, tsis yog cov lej uas yuav zoo tshaj plaws ntawm daim ntawv. Thaum koj ua qhov no, nws yuav yooj yim dua kom tau txais nyob rau hauv qhov xav tau ntawm qhov kev kwv yees qhov tseeb. Koj tuaj yeem ntxiv cov kauj ruam ntxiv thaum koj xis nyob dua.
Npaj Koj Cov Ntaub Ntawv
Qhov kev txhim kho zoo dua koj cov ntaub ntawv yog, qhov tseeb dua koj qhov kev kwv yees muag yuav yog. Xav txog nws: nws puas yooj yim dua los txheeb xyuas cov ntaub ntawv qhia meej, siv tau, thiab yooj yim txhais cov lej lossis cov ntaub ntawv tsis sib xws? Nrog cov ntaub ntawv zoo dua qub, nws yuav yooj yim dua los pom cov qauv thiab cov qauv uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam koj qhov kev kwv yees muag. Koj tseem tuaj yeem paub tias cov ntaub ntawv no yog los ntawm cov khoom muaj txiaj ntsig, siv tau.
Paub txog cov txheej txheem kev kwv yees sib txawv
Yog li cas koj npaj yuav kwv yees koj qhov muag? Muaj ob peb txoj kev sib txawv. Ib qho uas peb tau hais txog ntau tshaj plaws hauv qhov blog no txog tam sim no yog cov txheej txheem keeb kwm: saib rov qab los ntawm kev muag khoom yav dhau los los qhia rau yav tom ntej. Koj tseem tuaj yeem siv txoj hauv kev hauv lub raj xa dej, uas saib cov kav dej muag rau txhua tus kws tshaj lij kev muag khoom thiab cov thawj coj uas feem ntau yuav kaw. Lwm txoj hauv kev nrov yog los ua koj qhov kev kwv yees tawm ntawm qhov ntev ntawm kev muag khoom kwv yees.
Nrhiav cov txheej txheem zoo thiab ua raws nws
Tshawb xyuas seb koj pab neeg muag khoom ua haujlwm zoo tshaj plaws li cas, kev ua haujlwm uas ua rau koj ua tau zoo tshaj plaws yam tsis muaj kev sib tsoo thiab kub hnyiab. Thaum koj muaj cov txheej txheem ruaj khov, zoo ib yam, nrog rau nws. Qhov no pab tau li cas rau kev kwv yees qhov tseeb? Vim tias qhov sib npaug ntawm koj cov khoom ua haujlwm ntau dua, qhov sib npaug ntawm koj qhov muag. Kev muag khoom tuaj yeem cuam tshuam los ntawm lwm yam, tau kawg, tab sis ntau ntawm nws los ntawm kev tsim khoom ntawm koj pab neeg muag khoom. Thaum koj muaj cov txheej txheem zoo ib yam, koj qhov kev kwv yees muag tau dhau los ua qhov kwv yees me ntsis ntxiv.
Txheeb xyuas qhov yuam kev yav dhau los
Tau txais kev txawj ntse yog qhov teeb meem ntawm kev sim thiab ua yuam kev. Kev ua yuam kev yog ib feem ntawm cov txheej txheem, tab sis kev kawm xav kom koj txheeb xyuas cov kev ua yuam kev kom koj tuaj yeem txhim kho. Yog li ua tib zoo saib koj cov kev muag khoom yav dhau los uas poob qis ntawm qhov tseeb. Koj puas tau nyob hauv kev kwv yees? Tshaj kwv yees? Dab tsi tshwm sim uas koj tsis tau xav txog? Qhov no yuav pab qhia koj cov kev kwv yees yav tom ntej.
Txhim Kho Koj Cov Kev Qhia Txog Kev Muag Khoom
Ib feem ntawm qhov teeb meem tuaj yeem nqes mus rau kev cob qhia. Puas yog koj cov kws tshaj lij kev muag khoom raug cob qhia kom raug kwv yees kev muag khoom? Yog tias muaj, thaum twg yog lub sijhawm kawg uas koj tau txais kev cob qhia? Ntau tshaj li ib xyoos lossis ob xyoos dhau los, thiab koj qhov kev cob qhia tej zaum yuav dhau los lawm. Ua kev cob qhia tshiab thiab saib cov kev cob qhia tshiab kom pom tias muaj qee yam koj yuav ploj mus. Los ntawm kev cob qhia koj pab neeg zoo dua, koj tuaj yeem ua txhua yam kev muag khoom kwv yees nrog kev npaj thiab kev ntseeg siab.
Kev kwv yees yav tom ntej tsis tas yuav yog qee qhov khawv koob dab neeg. Nrog rau cov tswv yim no, koj thiab koj pab neeg muag khoom thaum kawg tuaj yeem tau txais kev daws teeb meem ntawm kev muag khoom raug.
